Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 867.314196 982.777706 1112.213863 1268.894187 1454.521381 1668.792969 1936.823886
2025-04-13 669.100695 812.549970 988.392692 1222.935525 1532.396078 1933.743994 2505.509162
2025-04-20 594.577916 755.569916 965.024149 1263.720010 1689.342317 2291.311108 3240.428821
2025-04-27 533.275091 701.731554 931.294090 1276.605838 1800.686259 2598.274294 3973.092795
2025-05-04 488.416120 661.863460 907.730419 1295.095384 1916.870390 2928.592907 4825.786104
2025-05-11 450.906231 626.608131 884.303115 1307.182916 2020.975153 3256.166565 5765.588838
2025-05-18 428.311753 609.808563 884.952734 1354.981080 2189.521476 3728.210901 7132.461921
2025-05-25 403.828798 587.037595 872.837309 1378.608517 2318.177251 4154.067415 8557.043790
2025-06-01 378.261028 559.747297 849.923512 1379.507096 2403.610971 4512.772478 9967.047520
2025-06-08 354.839513 533.536560 825.674017 1374.038653 2474.624703 4856.737720 11485.030686
2025-06-15 339.964566 519.788996 820.734353 1402.815141 2619.003173 5399.608338 13808.979465
2025-06-22 315.138356 487.325796 780.126438 1358.259380 2600.556768 5553.548631 15044.477033
2025-06-29 292.250291 457.171445 742.222198 1317.132305 2589.085194 5739.426114 16553.997199
2025-07-06 270.467334 427.471745 702.830200 1268.948605 2555.268157 5864.885768 17959.938288
2025-07-13 263.063798 422.236703 707.608851 1311.691860 2741.804150 6648.131144 22447.423477
2025-07-20 252.561309 410.594491 699.162060 1325.199322 2860.161409 7277.296025 26859.830233
2025-07-27 243.627263 401.069422 693.798190 1344.584140 2997.667338 8016.967841 32559.499522
2025-08-03 234.653876 390.777255 685.937416 1357.258816 3120.418849 8757.967412 39161.459257
2025-08-10 230.196477 388.561583 693.890613 1407.393086 3358.223262 10005.427491 50661.009826
2025-08-17 223.471720 381.514723 691.315408 1432.183623 3529.575929 11090.094986 63053.985575
2025-08-24 215.012224 370.528674 679.596209 1433.126544 3630.143631 11944.249191 75417.521744
2025-08-31 206.574113 359.039333 665.874737 1427.388375 3709.404809 12752.192059 89320.082096
2025-09-07 201.698094 354.277597 666.161149 1457.587474 3912.839074 14236.960357 114757.783951